Lok Sabha Election 2024 Trends: TDP and JDU Poised as Kingmakers, Political Bargaining Might Intensify

    The results and trends of the Lok Sabha elections that have come out so far clearly show that no single party is in a position to secure enough seats to form the government.

    The results and trends of the Lok Sabha elections that have come out so far clearly show that no single party is in a position to secure enough seats to form the government. As of 1 pm, the ruling BJP is close to the figure of 240 seats. Although the NDA figure is currently 295 in the trends, 55 of these seats belong to those parties which are allies of the BJP. In such a situation, everyone’s eyes are on those two parties of the NDA, which will now play the role of kingmakers in forming the new government. These two parties are Telugu Desam and JDU.

    According to the latest election trends, Chandrababu Naidu’s Telugu Desam Party has emerged as a major force in Andhra Pradesh. If it is going to form the government in the state by winning the assembly elections there, then it is moving towards winning 16-17 Lok Sabha seats.

    Something similar is the case with Nitish Kumar’s JDU in Bihar, which is in a position to lead in 15 seats in the Lok Sabha elections. Nitish Kumar had just a few days ago distanced himself from RJD and joined hands with BJP in Bihar.

    Both parties together can win 30-32 seats

    After these two parties winning about 30-32 seats, it is certain that both these parties can now become kingmakers in the formation of any government at the center.

    Both parties do a lot of political bargaining

    Although both parties fought the Lok Sabha elections in alliance with BJP, but both parties are such that they never shy away from bargaining for their political gains and losses. Hence, they have been changing sides repeatedly. Both political parties have a love-hate relationship with BJP.

    Nitish has changed sides many times

    Nitish Kumar changed sides not once but more than five times and sometimes went with BJP and sometimes with RJD. He had formed an alliance with BJP some time back because he felt that going with BJP would be beneficial for him and with this he would also save his government in the state. But now the situation has changed.

    Nitish Kumar’s party is emerging as the biggest winner in 40 Lok Sabha seats in Bihar. It is in a position to win 15-16 seats there while BJP can win 13 seats. It is true that according to the indications given by Nitish Kumar from time to time, his heart does not match with BJP but the compulsion of politics keeps them together. When BJP is not that strong in these elections at this time, it will be interesting to see what Nitish Kumar does.

    Chandrababu Naidu is also a seasoned leader

    The same situation is with Chandrababu Naidu. After BJP came to power at the center, he was sometimes their ally and sometimes sat against them in the opposition. Naidu’s Telugu Desam has even brought a no-confidence motion against the Modi government. Jagan Reddy’s politics in Andhra Pradesh forced him to join hands with BJP again but now that he has won the assembly elections in Andhra Pradesh and is in a position to win around 16-17 seats in the Lok Sabha elections, he is now in a position where he can make a tough political bargain.

    Congress has indicated amidst the election results that it is now going to start talks with JDU and Telugu Desam. It is clear that both these parties are such that they can go with anyone for their political gains and losses.

    If he leaves Modi and BJP and goes with Congress and India, then one should not be surprised and even if he stays in NDA, the cost will be very high.



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